The main reason homeowners won’t sell their homes

 Real Estate Market, Residential Mortgage  Comments Off on The main reason homeowners won’t sell their homes
May 012018
 

For more information, please contact me at (512) 261-1542 or steve@LoneStarLending.com.

By G. Steven Bray

Survey after survey recently has shown that homeowners think it’s a good time to sell their homes. Recently, we reported an all-time high, 65% of respondents, ascribed to that sentiment in a Fannie Mae survey. A recent ValuedInsured survey said the percentage is 79%. So, if it’s such a good time to sell, why aren’t more homes for sale?

Pundits have speculated about many reasons, but one of the top suggestions has been the interest rate effect. Most homeowners have been able to finance or refinance their homes at very low interest rates. Now that rates are higher, they don’t want to trade in that low mortgage payment for a higher one.

This may be a valid concern for some folks, but in the ValueInsured survey, only 18% of respondents cited it. The overwhelming majority, 79%, said they weren’t selling because of the price they’d end up paying for a new home. In the same survey, 61% of respondents said they’re waiting for home prices to become more “reasonable” before moving.

I can see why homeowners would be nervous given reports of bidding wars and nearly double-digit yearly price increases in some markets. Unfortunately, when everyone feels nervous at the same time, it exacerbates the home inventory shortage, which leads to more price increases and more bidding wars.

This “time the market” argument seems like a serious hurdle to seeing more homes for sale. However, I suspect just a moderation of home price increases could calm nerves a bit. If homeowners could predict the price of their replacement homes, we could see an easing of the shortage.

Fewer bargain homes but still opportunity for home buyers

 Real Estate Market  Comments Off on Fewer bargain homes but still opportunity for home buyers
Aug 222014
 

For more information, please contact me at (512) 261-1542 or steve@LoneStarLending.com.

By G. Steven Bray

Corelogic, a real estate analytics company, reported this week that distressed home sales, short sales and foreclosed homes, fell again last month to 11.4% of all sales, their lowest level since 12/07. The diminishing share and the competition for those homes have contributed to home price increases, as distressed sales typically sell at a discount.

The improvement in this measure of home industry health is susbtantial. At the height of the housing bust, distressed sales accounted for almost 1/3 of the total. However, a more sobering view is to compare it to the share before the bust. At that time only 2% of the market was distressed sales.

But let’s take the glass half full view. Other data also points to an improving market. Existing home sales rose for the 4th straight month in Jul, the inventory of homes for sales is increasing, and home prices are moderating. With still very low mortgage rates, this fall could be great opportunity for homebuyers.